I mentioned in February that Arlington was writing a Capital Bikeshare Transit Development Plan to be finished by the end of June. It is out, though the public meeting about it is now scheduled for July 11 from 7-9pm at 1501 Wilson Blvd, Suite 1100, Arlington, VA.
For the 6-year plan period almost all of the expansion will occur in 2013. Of the 39 stations planned for 2013-2015, 33 of those will be installed in 2013.
3 of the 39 planned stations will be funded through external sponsorship by the Potomac Yard Transportation Management Association, the Ballston BID and George Mason University with the others being funded through transportation grants and $200,000 in Arlington County decal fees. After 2015, the capital funding will be needed to keep the system in a state of good repair as the original equipment will be reaching the end of its useful life and need replacement.
Expansion will focus on building out the current system in South Arlington, especially along Columbia Pike east of the W&OD trail, and in Shirlington. Stations will also be placed at Arlington National Cemetery and at the Pentagon pending approval from NPS and the DOD.
In addition to those key locations, stations will be placed at a lower density along key corridors - though no station can be more than half a mile from another. Stations will be along the Four Mile Run and W&OD trails, in the neighborhoods along Washington Blvd and Glebe Road and in Arlington Ridge and Aurora Heights. There are also two "spare" stations and 17 4-dock expansion plates that can be placed later based on future needs.
There is also a plan for some money to be reserved for a 2014 pilot project using smaller 11-dock stations with reduced functionality in neighborhoods without sufficient density to support full size, full service locations.
Specific locations are not identified, just areas as shown below.
Even after the 39 stations are added, they estimate that there will be demand for roughly 50-100 other stations, which are currently unfunded. If more money is made available, stations in North Arlington, East Falls Church and Lee Highway would be the next logical steps. There would also be additional stations in the neighborhoods between Shrilington and Columbia Pike. And of course, system growth will lead to additional demand in the core of the system - Crystal City, Rosslyn and Court House. They developed two plans for "unconstrained expansion" with the map relating to the larger of those below.
It's expected that the expansion of the system will lead to increased shortages in operations revenue, due to a farebox recovery rate of about 50%. The overall system makes money, but not Arlington's share of it. So from a $446,000 projected shortfall in 2013 it would rise to $884,000 in 2018. There is also a projected shortfall in capital expenditures as the Decal Fee alone will not be enough to keep the system in a state of good repair, and CMAQ money is not budgeted beyond 2013.
To close the gap, they will seek funding from many sources. They will try to get a better farebox recovery rate and more sponsored stations. They're open to a title sponsor or advertising on kiosks, though both would require a change to Arlington's zoning codes and prohibitions on outdoor advertising. They'll seek assistance from developers and encourage them to fund stations as part of new developments - as DC did with Wal-Mart. They'll seek funding from private foundations and try to sell more corporate memberships . The county currently markets bulk discounted casual memberships for hotels to sell to guests, but so far that amounts to only 5% of memberships sold, so they'd like to expand that. And of course, they'll look at funding from other government sources at all levels.
There is much more to the report than I can really cover here, but it is about the most thorough bikeshare plan I've ever seen. You can comment at the Report's website or attend the meeting next week.