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I can understand that bikeshare is more often substituted for non-car transport. But I wonder if the numbers undercount the car traffic mitigation effect of bikeshare over the longer term.

In DC, the continuing woes of Metro has led to more people using other forms of transportation. Given DC demographics, a decent number of those former Metro riders could replace it with driving. But bike share and biking has provided a reasonable non-car alternative. CaBi also provides a source of relief for when Metro is broken, thus allowing you to continue on Metro rather than driving.

So the numbers might show a Metro-CaBi substitution, but without CaBi you might have seen more people driving.

Some public transportation routes are already oversubscribed and bikeshare can assist those. The 16Y Express bus service between DC and Arlington comes to mind. Many buses are uncomfortably crowded. I don't often take this line, but bikeshare is my new substitute for riding my own bike at times when I might have taken the line(honestly, I don't understand why more of those riders don't ride a bicycle). I now leave a spot open for the person who might switch to driving.

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