Breezeway Network from the Draft Master Plan
Later today, the Montgomery County Council's Transportation, Infrastructure, Energy and Environment Committee will meet to discuss the proposed Bicycle Master Plan.
The plan proposes creating a "1,100-mile network of bikeways includes 573 miles of sidepaths, 172 miles of trails, 128 miles of bikeable shoulders, 99 miles of separated bike lanes and 48 miles of neighborhood greenways. More than one-quarter of this network currently exists."
Today's meeting will focus on the plan's recently completed Fiscal Impact Statement (FIS) which sets the cost of the 25 year plan at $3.1 billion, which doesn't consider "substantial" land acquisition costs. This is admittedly a lot of money, however, it doesn't accurately define the cost of the plan. That is the price if every single mile of planned bikeway is built. The planning staff states up front that they realize it won't be.
Such a large network is proposed so that opportunities to Implement the preferred bicycling network are not lost when yet unknown circumstances arise, such as future capital projects and development applications.
In other words, some of these are unfunded lines on maps, which is how they'll stay unless something unforeseen happens. If some other entity such as the state or federal government decides to built a project that intersects with the plan, it gives the county the ability to push them to build the facility. And many of these facilities, about half a billion dollars worth, are expected to be built by private developers.
Putting unfunded projects in a plan is not unusual. In DC, the 2005 bike plan included a bike path along the old rail spur to St. Elizabeths. That planned, but completely unfunded path, was considered years later when DHS decided to develop the property and now a path will extend along that route and then all the way across Ward 8. This is how a lot of facilities wind up being built. But many of these lines never become trails or bike lanes.
It's unrealistic to include them all as costs, since the plan is for the county to never pay for them or at least to never pay the full price. And it feels disingenuous for the County Executive to claim that "implementing the scope and timing of the proposed plan would cause extreme duress to the capital and operating budgets" when the plan is not to implement the full scope.
In addition, the planning staff notes that many of these facilities are dual-use and so should not count entirely as a bike plan cost. There are 23 bikeable shoulders that are also highway safety projects (and unlikely to be built unless to provide shoulders for drivers) - the cost of these make up $1.8 billion of the costs. The 450 miles of sidepaths will also serve pedestrians and should be discounted accordingly.
For these reasons, the planning board estimates the fiscal impact of the bicycle plan at less than $1.9 billion.
The OMB estimate is bad enough, but then it gets worse. The Deputy County Council Administrator that leads on transportation then submitted a memo arguing that $3.1 billion, instead of overstating the costs, understates it and that the real cost is $6.5 billion.
The deputy argues that there are $2.5 billion worth of bikeways identified in the plan that are not priced out. When the planning board noted that they are not all going to be implemented he asks "[then] why are they all master-planned?" As if the answer, that they are placed in there just in case an opportunity arises, isn't pretty clear. He also points out, as stated by OMB, that the land costs are not included.
He then argues for a major descoping.
One way to reduce this cost while generally respecting the Planning Board's priorities is to delete from the master plan the projects in Tiers 4 and 5, and many (but not all) of the bike-able shoulders in Tier 3.
Note that this will not actually save the county any money, but it might prevent bike projects from being built anyway. The deleted projects are ones that won't be built if the county has to do it. They are only there as placeholders in case someone else - a developer, Maryland or the federal government to name a few - can be convinced to build them. And having it in the plan makes it easier to get them built under those conditions.
In a stark contrast, there's no discussion at all of the fiscal impact or budget busting scope of the Master Plan of Highways and Transitways which is also being updated.
The committee is meeting today at 2:45pm in Rockville, and I'd encourage all County residents to contact the council or their members to make sure the Bicycle Plan keeps its current scope.
Also:
- A lawyer for our good friends at the Chevy Chase Country Club wrote to "request that the Montgomery County Council include language in the Bicycle Master Plan directing that the Club is not obligated: (1) to dedicate right of way; (2) to install; nor (3) to contribute to the cost of a shared use path along Wisconsin Avenue simply because the Bicycle Master Plan recommends one, if the Club were to initiate a project on its property sometime in the future." No other landowners submitted comments.
- The Deputy criticizes the inclusion of road diets as a means of building bike lanes. "In several locations in the Draft Plan, it is noted that in many cases the means to create a bike lane is to remove a travel lane or on-street parking. This should not be a given. Several have testified the obvious fact that removing a travel lane will increase congestion, and that removing a parking lane might hurt local businesses.
- The Suburban Maryland Transportation Alliance, which promotes itself as pro-bicycle and makes many pro-bicycle statements is maybe MORE pro-car. They recommend that the plan should "Focus more on recreation since that is what people who cycle are primarily interested in." The plan is instead focused on helping people to complete short trips by bike and getting the County's mode share up to 8%. They also recommend that they "Remove the potential of eliminating travel lanes to accommodate new bike lanes since their removal could negatively impact congestion and is contrary to other master plans for transit and road networks"; "Analyze any proposals to remove on-street parking to ensure that the removal will not hurt any
businesses" and remove the breezeway network shown at the top.
- A law firm wrote that the new plan must comply with the takings clause of the Fifth Amendment and that the plan be revised to state that only projects that generate 50 or more non-motorized peak hour trips must construct bicycle infrastructure
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